From first trade to first bot.
A plain-English guide to digit contracts, reading the analysis, staking systems and — most importantly — managing risk. No jargon, no hype.
1 · The six digit contracts
Every trade on a MilePredictions synthetic market is decided by the last digit of the price after a fixed number of ticks. There are three families, six contracts:
| Contract | You win if… | Fair base |
|---|---|---|
| Even / Odd | Last digit is even (0,2,4,6,8) or odd (1,3,5,7,9). | ≈ 50% |
| Over / Under | Last digit is strictly above / below a barrier (0–9). | varies by barrier |
| Matches / Differs | Last digit matches / differs from a chosen digit. | ≈ 10% / 90% |
The trade-off is always the same: contracts that win more often (like Differs, ≈90%) pay less per win; rare contracts (like Matches, ≈10%) pay a lot. No contract is “better” — they’re the same expected value dressed differently.
2 · Reading the analysis desk
The analysis desk turns the raw tick stream into a few honest pictures:
- Digit distribution. How often each digit 0–9 has printed. The hot (most frequent) and cold (least frequent) digits are highlighted — the starting point for Matches/Differs.
- Even/Odd & Over/Under. The split for a parity or a barrier. The Over/Under matrix shows every barrier at once so you can spot the widest lean.
- Streaks & recency. The current run (e.g. “6× even”) and how many ticks since each digit last appeared — useful if you trade mean-reversion or momentum.
- Rise/Fall & price. Tick-to-tick direction and a live price line for context.
3 · Using the signals scanner
The scanner runs the same maths across every market at once and ranks the results by confidence — a blend of how big the edge is and how much data backs it. A strong signal is simply the largest, best-sampled deviation from the fair baseline right now.
Tap Trade on any signal to open a ticket pre-filled with that contract and market. You choose the stake; nothing is placed until you press Buy.
4 · Staking systems, honestly
A staking system changes how much you bet based on results. It cannot change the odds. The common ones:
Martingale
Double after every loss. One win recovers everything — but a losing streak grows the stake terrifyingly fast. High risk of ruin.
Paroli
Double after every win, reset on a loss. Losses stay small; you’re only risking house money on streaks. Gentler than Martingale.
D'Alembert
Step up one unit on a loss, down one on a win. Arithmetic, not exponential — slower to blow up, slower to recover.
Fibonacci
Follow 1,1,2,3,5,8… on losses. A middle ground between D’Alembert and Martingale.
5 · Risk management (the part that matters)
- Start on demo. Every preset defaults to the demo wallet. Run a strategy for a few hundred trades there before risking a cent.
- Set a stop-loss and a take-profit. Decide your exit before you start. The builder enforces both — use them.
- Bet small. Keep each stake a tiny fraction of your balance so variance can’t wipe you out on a normal losing streak.
- Never chase. The urge to “win it back” is how small losses become large ones. Walk away when your stop hits.
Glossary
- Tick
- A single price update. MilePredictions synthetic markets print roughly one tick per second.
- Last digit
- The final digit of the quoted price. Every digit contract is decided by it.
- Barrier
- The digit you compare against in Over/Under and Matches/Differs (0–9).
- Hit rate
- The share of recent ticks a contract would have won over the analysis window.
- Edge
- Hit rate minus the fair, no-edge baseline for that contract. Positive = a lean in your favour.
- Baseline
- The win-rate you'd expect from a perfectly random market — e.g. 50% for Even/Odd.
- Window
- How many recent ticks the statistics are computed over (100–1000).
- Streak
- A run of consecutive outcomes — e.g. six even digits in a row.
- Stake
- The amount risked on one contract.
- Payout
- The total returned on a winning contract, including your stake.
- Progression
- A rule that changes your stake based on results (Martingale, Paroli, …).
- RTP
- Return to player — the long-run share of stakes a market pays back. Below 100% by design.